11/12/04 19:06:55.79 SMzNzsTa
URLﾘﾝｸ(www.economist.com)
Climate-change talks：Wilted greenery
The UN’s latest round of climate-change talks open in Durban. Even avoiding deadlock would be an achievement
Dec 3rd 2011 | from the print edition
気候変動国際会議：しおれたグリーン エコノミスト、３日
国連の気候変動国際会議がダーバンで開かれているが、デッドロックを避けることが出来るなら、それさえも成功と呼べる
世界各国のCo2排出量 URLﾘﾝｸ(media.economist.com)
Recent work by, among others, Michael Greenstone at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology backs that approach.
It shows that hot spells kill few people in air-conditioned America; but in India, where 300m have no access to
electricity, the death toll is huge. India’s priority is to provide its people with electricity, and one day
air-conditioners. That this will increase its emissions is less a problem for India than for the world.
It therefore views any suggestion that it should be bound to curb its emissions as a threat.
最近MITのMichael Greenstone の示した例では、発展途上国がCo2排出に法的拘束力のある国際条約に反対する事情を説明
している。エアコンのあるアメリカでは猛暑で人の死ぬことは稀であるが、３億人が電力にアクセス出来ないインドでは
死者は多い。インドにとっての優先順位は国民への電力供給で、更に何時の日にかエアコンを提供できるようにすることで
ある。そのためインドにとってはCo2排出増加は世界全体にとってよりも問題が少ない。そのために、インドにとってはCo2
排出の法的規制というのは国の発展にとっての脅威とみなされる。
Some sort of agreement is still possible. Developing countries, including China and India, have suggested they are
willing to negotiate a new pact, to be concluded around 2020. This agreement, if it transpires, would be a broader
version of the deal agreed in Cancun, including new emissions targets for rich countries and new efficiency targets
for developing ones. And China’s target, in particular, could soon start to matter. Though its emissions will not
peak for over a decade, China is much better placed than India to slow their growth. Its emissions per head are
already higher than those of some European countries.
Yet the snag is the status of this mooted regime. The Europeans envisage a legally binding successor to Kyoto.
Developing countries, and America, want a looser arrangement, more akin to that approved in Cancun. To avoid a
deadlock in Durban, one side will have to budge.
京都プロトコルに変わる国際的合意を2020年を目標に創り上げようというう動きもあって中国やインドも包含できるものを
目指している。しかし、それであってもアメリカや途上国の警戒は強く（ry