07/02/27 01:52:37 5yqh4ztq
URLﾘﾝｸ(www.aei.org)
Deja Vu ：Repeating Past Mistakes with North Korea
By Nicholas Eberstadt, Christopher Griffin
Posted: Monday, February 26, 2007
ＡＥＩ：デジャヴ：北朝鮮との交渉の誤りを繰り返すな
----------------------------------------------------------------------
ニコラス・エバーシュタットとクリストファー・グリフィン（対中・対北強硬派）
の書いている国務省の北朝鮮との6者会合合意、エンゲージメントシナリオへの
大変厳しい批判。
ＷＳＪにゼーリックの書いているような国務省のシナリオの擁護論の対極にある批
判で、これはこれで筋が通っているところが。
興味深いのは、今の国務省シナリオが日米関係を悪化させる危険がある、と警告し
ていること。拉致問題にアメリカが無関心と見られる事は危険だと言う。
Damage to the Washington-Tokyo relationship may be no less severe. Japan appears to
be the biggest loser in the latest agreement. The question of “abductees”--
Japanese citizens who were kidnapped by North Korea during the 1970s and 1980s--has
been shunted to a side working group where it will no longer interfere with the
remainder of the agenda.
Tokyo has refused to provide energy assistance until the abductee issue is resolved,
a step that will marginalize its role in future negotiations unless Tokyo
embarrassingly backs down or Pyongyang makes concessions (though it no longer faces
international pressure to do so). American support for an agreement that relegates
the interests of a crucial U.S. ally to such a subsidiary role is difficult to explain.
アメリカが気軽に経済支援に応じるなら日米関係を悪化させかねない、と心配して、むし
ろ日米同盟を固め、北朝鮮への圧力を高め、中国に北朝鮮の難民の面倒を見させるべきだ、
と論じている。
Looking beyond the six-party framework, Washington should consider a policy that
leverages U.S. strengths against North Korean weaknesses. As North Korea depends
on international extortion to survive, the United States should follow Japan's
lead and refuse to support the failed North Korean economy until Pyongyang delivers
real progress on denuclearization and other issues.
Cooperation with Tokyo to increase pressure against Pyongyang's proliferation and
counterfeiting activities is a vital measure. And pushing Beijing to facilitate
the flow of North Korean refugees though its border along the Yalu River would
deliver both humanitarian and strategic dividends.
こういう強行派の意見がアメリカ国内の有力シンクタンクにあることは、日本のメデイアは
全く報道しない。それはアンバランスで、国民の「知る権利」に答えていないことになると
思う。いずれにせよ60日経過以降の北朝鮮の核問題が上手くゆかないなら、強行派の意見も
再び高まる可能性が。