11/12/19 00:41:52.32 aP8SLLW+0
ベン・ゾブリスト＞エイドリアン・ゴンザレスになるWAR
どう考えてもおかしいだろっていう記事
URLﾘﾝｸ(mlb.sbnation.com)
Who's trying to use WAR that way, exactly? Who is arguing that Ben Zobrist is EXACTLY 9.3 percent better than Adrian Gonzalez?
None of my friends are doing that. Are yours?
As Hippeaux correctly notes, "WAR’s move to the mainstream is deeply tied to the rising popularity of FanGraphs."
When you go to the individual "leaders" pages on FanGraphs, the default ranking is according to Wins Above Replacement.
A lot of people -- including a lot of baseball writers -- use those pages, and are informed by them.
But very few baseball writers are going to just copy those rankings onto their MVP ballots.
Dave Cameron is as responsible as anyone for what happens on FanGraphs ...
But is Dave Cameron going around arguing that Ben Zobrist is EXACTLY 9.3 percent better Adrian Gonzalez? I really really really doubt it.
In fact, Hippeaux does acknowledge Cameron's perspective:
Even WAR’s adherents, like Dave Cameron, generally admit the margin of error is at least 15%.
When we stubbornly suggest that 0.5 WAR means anything, we are grossly exaggerating the statistic’s accuracy, even according to its creators.
It remains true that any reasoned discussion of an individual’s contributions still requires analysis of the various components that go into WAR,
as well as several that don’t, and, as such, subjectivity reigns.