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Probabilities in a riddle involving axiom of choice
asked Dec 9 '13 at 16:16 Denis
Answer 14
The probabilistic reasoning depends on a conglomerability assumption, namely that given a fixed sequence u→ , the probability of guessing correctly is (n-1)/n, then for a randomly selected sequence, the probability of guessing correctly is (n-1)/n. But we have no reason to think the event of guessing correctly is measurable